past week was extreme, from a fall to high jump leaving low return state very fast. Now this index retakes state 0 (average positive returns)
key note from past week:
US election bets were right

market outperformed and underperformed forecast and we expect for this week a slow flat downward trend, the privous jump was very optimistic?

main market indexes:

previous week the index performance was not good. Ups and downs but in general a decreasing trend. It just started in state 2, an state with positive returs but with some of part of its distribution in the negative side, meaning that it can be state in which we have some days with positive returs but we might have weeks with negative returs.
the previous analysis makes…

previous week had a initial fall then the index went up again reaching a new historical hight. IT is ended up in the day 26 of the state 0 (state with positive returns, its standard duration is between 5 and 45 days).

the current index reached the median duration of the state (historically) so could expect that it is going to continue in this state in comming days. Lets see…

Past week performance had some ups and down but in general it closed in an hisotical new high. Market recovered from the end's september low market performance

we are in state 0 which is a state with positive returns, but we are in the day 21 of this state (the state 0 durations median is 25 and 75 percentile is 46 days)
the forecasting in the past weeks was fair…